Wednesday’s MLB best bets highlight Mariners moneyline and two-game totals going under, with matchups offering strong pitching advantages.
June doesn’t roar. It hums. While football owns the fall and basketball dazzles in spring, baseball in June whispers its truths quietly, pitch by pitch, city by city.
On a Wednesday filled with matinee matchups, it’s a day for statement wins and corrected missteps. The Padres remind the Dodgers they’re no longer chasing shadows. The Mariners beg for a lifeline. The Royals and Yankees try to reset the tone. In each, the stakes rise—subtly, but surely.
Here are today’s best plays. Each is born not just from the numbers, but from the moment itself.
Best Bet No. 1: Seattle Mariners ML (-112) vs. Diamondbacks
Sometimes, one arm can anchor an entire team’s day.
For Seattle, that arm belongs to Bryan Woo.
Bryan Woo, 96mph ⛽️ pic.twitter.com/gw2EE0AND8
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 5, 2025
Woo’s 3.07 ERA only tells part of the story. He ranks in the 96th percentile in pitching run value and 72nd in expected ERA, offering far more than just surface-level stats. The Mariners need him to be every bit of that on Wednesday. They’re trying to avoid a sweep, and in June, momentum matters.
Eduardo Rodriguez starts for Arizona, but the numbers haven’t been kind. A 6.70 ERA. A 1.65 WHIP. Six of his 10 starts have ended with four or more earned runs.
In a series finale where desperation meets opportunity, go with the pitcher who’s proven he can carry the weight.
✅ The Play: Mariners ML (-112)
Best Bet No. 2: Yankees vs. Royals UNDER 9 (-121)
Not every great pitching performance comes with a big name.
Kris Bubic has been a revelation for Kansas City. Since May began, he’s allowed three total earned runs across 39.1 innings. His 1.43 ERA speaks volumes, but his 0.69 ERA over the past month whispers something more: consistency.
Shove Day for Bubic
The AL Cy Young contender has been lights out this season:
🔹 ERA: 1.43
🔹 WHIP: 1.00
🔹 Strikeouts: 79
🔹 Quality Starts: 9
🔹 Innings Pitched: 75.1Big time bounce back game for the Yals tonight🙌 #FountainsUp
— SleeperRoyals (@SleeperRoyals) June 11, 2025
On the other side, Clarke Schmidt has quietly been one of the Yankees’ most reliable arms. Eight of his nine starts have featured three earned runs or fewer. His expected ERA? A sharp 3.07, landing him in the 79th percentile.
The Royals have become an UNDER machine—39-27-1 overall, and nine of Bubic’s 12 starts have stayed under nine runs.
This game won’t explode. It’ll simmer. And it’ll stay low.
✅ The Play: UNDER 9 (-121)
Best Bet No. 3: Red Sox vs. Rays UNDER 10 (-115)
After five straight games going over the total, Boston finally cooled. A 3-1 win on Tuesday hinted at a return to form, a momentary pause in the chaos.
Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has found its rhythm on the mound. Zack Littell hasn’t just been good—he’s been unbeaten in eight straight starts. A 6-0 record. A 2.79 ERA. Confidence. Control. Command.
In Tuesday’s matchup, both teams combined for just 10 hits. The Rays have held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in 16 of their last 18 games.
In a matchup of two division rivals, defense wins out. It won’t be flashy, but it will be tight.
✅ The Play: UNDER 10 (-115)
Quiet Stakes, Loud Results
Baseball in June rarely gets the front page. But it’s in these midweek moments that seasons start to shift—when contenders find their voice and pretenders are left searching.
Three plays. Three stories. All rooted in the rhythm of the game.
Bet the arms. Ride the rhythm. And —sometimes, the best fireworks come from silence.
