Betting Tips 6yhh
Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – December 5th 1ha8
Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.
Get to know andrewmount betterPublished05 Dec 2024
Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew found Ludlow winner DESPEREAUX on Wednesday and has three stats-based picks on Thursday, December 5th…
WINCANTON 12.35 4t612e
NO NO TANGO (system – Harry Derham, stable switchers in handicaps) 1x1h3
Harry Derham has an amazing record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers, especially in handicap company. He’s scored with 15 of the 31 qualifiers for a profit of £41.60 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 7.65, A/E = 1.96). NO NO TANGO, ex-Charlie Longsdon, has leading rider Paddy Mullins booked for this amateur riders’ handicap chase and can defy a 395-day absence.
LEICESTER 12.55 q35l
JUKALA (system – Venetia Williams, handicap chasers in December) 6xp1q
Last month I frequently used the ‘Venetia Williams handicap chasers in November’ angle in this column and this is a system that can be followed into the current month. Backing the yard’s handicap chasers in December this century (prior to yesterday’s double) would have found 148 winners from 715 bets (20.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £88.55 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 115.55, A/E = 1.28). JUKALA fits the bill.
WINCANTON 2.05 5z2t8
GOLDEN MOVE (system – Golden Horn, first run after a wind operation, hurdles) 4k2s10
Progeny of the sire Golden Horn have a good record on their first start after a wind operation (albeit from a small sample size), landing four of their 11 starts for a profit of £20.50 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those running in Class 2 or lower company were four from eight (+£23.50) and the Paul Nicholls-trained GOLDEN MOVE, beaten at short odds (8-15f and 11-10f) in his two previous runs over hurdles, could be worth one more chance now that he’s undergone wind surgery. He also sports cheekpieces for the first time.
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